WJLA (ABC7) has released its winter outlook for the upcoming 2022-2024 season. Previously, we’ve reviewed Doug Kammerer and NBC4’s winter outlook, shared highlights from Mike Thomas and Fox 5’s winter weather outlook, and went over WUSA9’s snowy prediction. WJLA seems to be a bit of a mixture of all of them, with less than average snow predicted, but still plenty depending on where in MoCo you’re located.
Like every other outlook, WJLA discusses the La Niña weather pattern that we’ll have for the third winter in a row. They tend to produces below-normal snowfall and above-average temperatures. The La Niña is expected to peak early and weaken as winter continues, according to their outlook. WJLA cuts to the chase and writes that “D.C. and surrounding areas are trending milder than normal for the season with less snowfall and potentially fewer storms.” As you can see in the map in our featured photo, the upper fourth of MoCo is in the 13″-20″ range while the rest of MoCo is in the 9″-15″ range (Rockville’s average snowfall is 21 inches).
The Farmers’ Almanac also released its 2022-2023 extended winter outlook earlier this fall. MoCo and almost all of Maryland seem to fall under the “Significant Shivers, Slushy, Icy, Snowy” category. Just to our south and west is the “Unreasonably Cold, Snowy” category, which means that we may have a good amount of winter precipitation for the first time in a few years, according to their forecast. We asked our resident snow forecaster, MoCoSnow, about Fox 5’s outlook. “Not as conservative as I would’ve expected for another La Niña pattern, but Mike Thomas added that the pattern could change later in the winter, so February will be very interesting to watch this year. Doug Kammerer went very conservative, but if it goes higher, nobody will care because of the excitement that comes with snow. WUSA9 was the boldest so far and that’s risky. WJLA seems to be a very realistic outlook, but we have to remember that these are all just educated guesses that could change if a storm is 50 miles in one direction.”