Yesterday we took a look at Doug Kammerer’s Winter Weather Outlook map and highlighted a few of the important items he went over on a subsequent Facebook live. Today, we’ll be analyzing the outlook as a whole, as many snow lovers are excited for what could bring a few feet of snow to the area.
Kammerer and Storm Team4 state that “we could see one or two big snowstorms that really make their mark on the winter of 2023-2024.” In our eyes, that means a storm that drops at least six inches across the region, but could also bring snow that’s measured in feet to the area. Since the El Niño patter is expected to bring above average temperatures and an active storm track, plenty of storms will come in the form as rain. The snow will be there when we are dealing with colder temperatures, which is what they expect January and February to bring.
The outlook mentions that we have had below-average snowfall in six of the last seven winters since the crippling blizzard that shut the area down back in 2016, but the team expects 22-30” of snow in the city and areas immediately surrounding it (Prince George’s County, Arlington, Bethesda, Silver Spring), 30-40” for areas a little further north like Gaithersburg, Leesburg, and Rockville, and up to 52” in places like Frederick and Hagerstown.
Storm Team4 expects a “big winter.” They compared this upcoming winter to the winters that had the most similar conditions going (1957-1958, 1965-1966 and 1982-1983). Those winter produced an average of 32.1″ of snow in the city, so according to this outlook…we could be in for a very eventful winter.
The full outlook can be seen here. Featured photo courtesy of NBC4.