As we do every year, our MoCoSnow team summarizes and compares some of the most popular winter outlooks before the winter season begins. NBC4 Chief Meteorologist Doug Kammerer has released his 2025-2026 Winter Outlook, calling for a colder-than-average season with above-normal snowfall across the D.C. region. His forecast puts most of Montgomery County in the 18-30 inch range, with Frederick and areas north/west in Maryland possibly seeing 26-40 inches, and Washington, D.C. and areas south in the 13-20 inch range.
Kammerer compared this upcoming winter to a few memorable ones in local weather history, including 1967–68 (21.4” of snow), 2013–14 (32”), and last winter (2024–25), which saw 14.9” of snow.!He expects this winter to be fairly cold overall, particularly in January, with December also trending colder than normal. According to Kammerer, most storms could begin as rain before transitioning to snow, and residents should prepare for several snow events, including one or two “big storms” that could bring 6 inches or more of accumulation.
The forecast aligns with a broader regional trend toward above-average snowfall highlighted by other outlets. Kammerer’s outlook comes just days after FOX 5 DC’s Mike Thomas and Tucker Barnes issued their own snowy winter forecast (though much closer to average), predicting one to three impactful storms (4+ inches) for the D.C. area.