The National Weather Service (NWS) still has the entire area under an “elevated” snow risk for Wednesday and Thursday. The “elevated” risk is defined by the NWS as “Considerable snow and/or sleet accumulation will cause significant travel disruptions.”
The storm looks like it’s coming our way Wednesday into Thursday. Timing will become more clear in a couple of days. The National Weather Service (NWS) shares that “this particular winter storm is still 4 to 5 days out from now so there remains some uncertainty as to the exact track and exact intensity and which model leans toward the best solution.”
Different models are showing different possible outcomes with each run. The GFS (American model) made a move towards the snowier Euro (European model) solution of 10+ inches this morning, but took a step back during its “happy hour” run this evening. The Euro continues to show heavy snow (8-10”+), though not as heavy as it did last night (over a foot of snow).
Right now it appears that our area will get snow in the Wednesday/Thursday timeframe, but the question remains if it will be similar to our last storm (3-6 inches) or a much more crippling amount (8 inches or more). We’ll continue to watch trends to see if it’s getting weaker, stronger, or if we’ll see the back and forth windshield wiper type of runs.
