Doug Kammerer, chief meteorologist at NBC4, has released his winter weather out look for the upcoming 2022-2023 season. Earlier this month we shared highlights from Mike Thomas and Fox 5’s winter weather outlook, which may have been a little more promising for snow lovers than NBC4’s is.
Kammerer starts his local outlook with “I think we will be wearing the rain coats and umbrellas a whole lot more than the winter coats and snow boots.” Not quite what snow lovers want to hear, but what’s to be expected with a La Niña pattern. La Niñas usually lead to warmer weather for our area with just one La Niña winter producing with none bringing more than average snowfall since the year 2000. Kammerer goes on to predict “one of the warmest winters ever!” stating that the winter could wind up as one of the five warmest winters in our area’s history. He thinks January will be the coldest month and predicts just 1-6” of snow for the entire winter, which is far less than the 9-18” predicted by Fox 5.
The Farmers’ Almanac also released its 2022-2023 extended winter outlook earlier this fall. MoCo and almost all of Maryland seem to fall under the “Significant Shivers, Slushy, Icy, Snowy” category. Just to our south and west is the “Unreasonably Cold, Snowy” category, which means that we may have a good amount of winter precipitation for the first time in a few years, according to their forecast. We asked our resident snow forecaster, MoCoSnow, about NBC4 and Fox 5’s outlook. “Not as conservative as I would’ve expected for another La Niña pattern, but Mike Thomas added that the pattern could change later in the winter, so February will be very interesting to watch this year” he said. “Doug Kammerer went very conservative, but if it goes higher, nobody will care because of the excitement that comes with snow.” The full NBC4 2022-2023 winter weather outlook can be seen here.