Due to how finicky our winter weather can be, a storm showing up on a model a week or more out isn’t usually mentioned by local meteorologists. Thursday’s potential storm, however, has had a strong enough signal to be mentioned by most as we move within five days away from the possible snowstorm.

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Many iPhone users are checking their Weather app today and seeing a 100% chance of snow, with amounts ranging from 11 to 18 inches for Thursday, depending on where they live. While that sounds exciting, it’s very unlikely that the weather can be predicted with 100% certainty just one day in advance, let alone a week ahead.

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